{"id":7036,"date":"2024-08-29T21:33:10","date_gmt":"2024-08-29T14:33:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/phukienmattroi.com\/index.php\/2024\/08\/29\/cuoc-khung-hoang-nang-luong-o-chau-a\/"},"modified":"2024-08-29T21:33:10","modified_gmt":"2024-08-29T14:33:10","slug":"cuoc-khung-hoang-nang-luong-o-chau-a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/phukienmattroi.com\/index.php\/2024\/08\/29\/cuoc-khung-hoang-nang-luong-o-chau-a\/","title":{"rendered":"Cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1"},"content":{"rendered":"


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Thi\u1ebfu nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u khi\u1ebfn Sri Lanka ph\u1ea3i d\u1eebng b\u00e1n x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u, c\u00f2n ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 d\u00f9ng \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00f2a trong c\u00e1i n\u00f3ng 37 \u0111\u1ed9.<\/p>\n

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Sri Lanka h\u00f4m 27\/6 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1n x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u cho c\u00e1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 thi\u1ebft y\u1ebfu, nh\u01b0 y t\u1ebf, t\u00e0u h\u1ecfa, xe bus trong 2 tu\u1ea7n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ecdc \u1edf th\u00e0nh th\u1ecb v\u00e0 th\u00fac gi\u1ee5c ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c t\u1eeb xa. T\u1ea1i Bangladesh, c\u00e1c c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda t\u1eeb 8h t\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng.<\/p>\n

\u1ede \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan, m\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec7n bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ecdc, doanh nghi\u1ec7p ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n th\u00ec kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00f2a trong c\u00e1i n\u00f3ng 37 \u0111\u1ed9.<\/p>\n

Nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111ang v\u1eadt l\u1ed9n v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m qua. Tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Sri Lanka Ranil Wickremesinghe c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y “\u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5”.<\/p>\n

\u1ede c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u00e0u h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0 Australia, m\u1ed1i lo kinh t\u1ebf c\u0169ng \u0111ang n\u1ea3y sinh khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn s\u1ee9c n\u00f3ng t\u1eeb h\u00f3a \u0111\u01a1n n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng cao. Gi\u00e1 b\u00e1n bu\u00f4n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y trong qu\u00fd I \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 141% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. C\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac gi\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 \u0111i\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n

\n
\"M\u1ed9t<\/div>
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M\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n qu\u1ea7n \u00e1o t\u1ea1i Pakistan t\u1ef1 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e8n th\u1eafp s\u00e1ng khi m\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec7n. \u1ea2nh: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 – n\u01a1i nhu c\u1ea7u n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111ang l\u00ean k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c \u2013 l\u00e0 minh ch\u1ee9ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng nh\u1ea5t cho th\u1ea5y v\u00ec sao \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i khu v\u1ef1c. Ng\u00e0y 28\/5, h\u1ecd th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o c\u00f4ng ty than nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Coal India s\u1ebd nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u than l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2015, do t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t \u0111i\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n

Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n l\u00e0 g\u00ec?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00f9 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e0 kh\u00e1c nhau, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ec1u ch\u1ecbu chung t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng k\u00e9p t\u1eeb Covid-19 v\u00e0 xung \u0111\u1ed9t Nga \u2013 Ukraine. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 hai s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n di\u1ec5n ra b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd, khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o l\u1ed9n. C\u00f2n nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n g\u1ed1c r\u1ec5, theo c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia, l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t c\u00e2n x\u1ee9ng gi\u1eefa cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Trong 2 n\u0103m, \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch gh\u00ecm nhu c\u1ea7u n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng tr\u00ean \u1edf gi\u1edbi \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3. Ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 \u0111i\u1ec7n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m h\u01a1n 3% trong qu\u00fd I\/2020 do c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh phong t\u1ecfa. Nh\u01b0ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, khi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1edf c\u1eeda, nhu c\u1ea7u nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt, k\u00e9o gi\u00e1 than, d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t l\u00ean cao.<\/p>\n

Chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga t\u1ea1i Ukraine khi\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y c\u00e0ng tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng. Nga l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 ba v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u l\u1edbn nh\u00ec th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Khi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh \u00e1p l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed Nga, nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ed9i v\u00e0ng t\u00ecm ngu\u1ed3n cung thay th\u1ebf, khi\u1ebfn cung c\u00e0ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t.<\/p>\n

“Nhu c\u1ea7u n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c kh\u00e1 nhanh sau \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 nhanh h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung”, Samantha Gross \u2013 Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn An ninh N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 Kh\u00ed h\u1eadu t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Brookings gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch, “Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i Ukraine. Chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga sau \u0111\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00fa s\u1ed1c v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng”.<\/p>\n

V\u00ec sao l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c1?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00f9 gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng nhanh tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, gi\u1edbi chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u00fd do khi\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 nh\u1ea5t. “N\u1ebfu l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i, nh\u01b0 Sri Lanka \u2013 ph\u1ea3i nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a, d\u1ea7u th\u00f4, kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t \u2013 \u0111\u00e2y th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c v\u1eadt l\u1ed9n”, Mark Zandi \u2013 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i Moody’s Analytics cho bi\u1ebft, “Anh ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 nhi\u1ec1u ti\u1ec1n h\u01a1n cho nh\u1eefng th\u1ee9 ph\u1ea3i mua, trong khi nh\u1eefng th\u1ee9 b\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1”.<\/p>\n

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\"Ng\u01b0\u1eddi<\/div>
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Ng\u01b0\u1eddi Sri Lanka ch\u1edd mua d\u1ea7u h\u1ecfa t\u1ea1i Kandy h\u00f4m 13\/6. \u1ea2nh: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc ngh\u00e8o h\u01a1n, v\u1eabn \u0111ang trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ho\u1eb7c m\u1edbi c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p h\u00f3a, kh\u00f3 c\u1ea1nh tranh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 gi\u00e0u c\u00f3. H\u1ecd c\u00e0ng ph\u1ea3i nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u nhi\u1ec1u, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd c\u00e0ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng, Antoine Halff \u2013 h\u1ecdc gi\u1ea3 t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng To\u00e0n c\u1ea7u thu\u1ed9c \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Columbia cho bi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n

“\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a Pakistan, v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 Sri Lanka n\u1eefa”, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i, “H\u1ecd ch\u1ecbu c\u00fa s\u1ed1c gi\u00e1, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng nh\u1eadn c\u1ea3 c\u00fa s\u1ed1c ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u1eefa. H\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 mua n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng”.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n, B\u1ed9 N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Sri Lanka cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n v\u00e0i ng\u00e0y n\u1eefa l\u00e0 h\u1ebft x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef. T\u1eeb h\u00f4m qua, c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc, tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ecdc c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda trong \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 2 tu\u1ea7n. C\u00f4ng ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch \u1edf nh\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ed3ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

Pakistan c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3m s\u1ed1 ng\u00e0y l\u00e0m trong tu\u1ea7n, t\u1eeb 6 v\u1ec1 5, \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u. Tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh c\u00f2n t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n. Gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng tu\u1ea7n l\u00e0m 6 ng\u00e0y m\u1edbi c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf cho n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. Ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111i\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y hi\u1ec7n thi\u1ebfu 5.000 megawatt so v\u1edbi nhu c\u1ea7u. B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Th\u00f4ng tin Marriyum Aurangzeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi “m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng”.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i Australia, t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng kh\u00e1 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 bao. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m. B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Chris Bowen g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh \u1edf bang New South Wales kh\u00f4ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec7n 2 gi\u1edd m\u1ed7i t\u1ed1i.<\/p>\n

V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u1edf ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u00f2n \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng. Nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i quay v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c d\u1ea1ng nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u g\u00e2y \u00f4 nhi\u1ec5m nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0 than \u0111\u00e1.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i Australia, \u1ee6y ban An ninh N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec7n, k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 \u0111i\u1ec7n than, t\u0103ng c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n thi\u1ebfu \u0111i\u1ec7n. Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n bang New South Wales c\u0169ng chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng than t\u1eeb c\u00e1c m\u1ecf c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec7n, thay v\u00ec \u0111em \u0111i xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u. C\u1ea3 hai ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u b\u1ecb ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch l\u00e0 \u0111i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c cam k\u1ebft v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, than t\u1ea1o ra 70% n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cho 1,3 t\u1ef7 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng nh\u1eadp than c\u1ee7a New Delhi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

“B\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o, d\u00f9 l\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, \u0110\u1ee9c hay M\u1ef9, n\u1ebfu t\u0103ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u h\u00f3a th\u1ea1ch, \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u”, Sandeep Pai \u2013 tr\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf h\u1ecdc cho bi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n

Pai cho r\u1eb1ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u00f3 l\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o than \u0111\u00e1 trong 1-2 n\u0103m t\u1edbi, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ch\u1ed1ng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu s\u1ebd b\u1ecb k\u00e9o t\u1ee5t.<\/p>\n

H\u00e0 Thu<\/strong> (theo CNN)<\/em><\/p>\n


\n\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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